Southwark council's cheap bike loan scheme is not found by searching the Southwark web site or the site of Cycle Confident who run the scheme. This is very puzzling. This is a very good scheme for getting people started or restarted in cycling. Please let us know your experience with the scheme by Commenting on this blog post.
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Key points
In the recent report on “Active Travel in Southwark 2017 - The health economic impact of walking and cycling (Southwark’s Joint Strategic Needs Assessment)” it was stated “People from White British ethnicity are least likely to take up active travel”. This information was going to play a part in targeting Southwark’s efforts to increase active travel. The source of this statement was a publication by the Dept for Transport, Local Area Walking and Cycling Statistics: England, 2014/15. In turn, this data was derived from the Active People Survey (APS) conducted by Sport England.  My understanding from other surveys of cycling and walking was that across the main ethic groupings, there was a higher proportion of cyclists in the white grouping and about the same walking rate across all groups. My concern was that the Active People Survey data might be unreliable, yet was likely to guide policy. This report re-examines at data from other surveys. The opportunity was also taken to look at London and Southwark, not just the national picture. National Travel Survey (NTS) This is the Dept of Transport’s annual survey of approximately 15000 individuals. The focus is on trips made for “transport” reasons. The proportions cycling once per month are much higher than the “Utility” data shown above from the AP Survey. This may be because the NTS sets broader criteria for transport riding than the APS did for “utility” riding. The NTS data shows cycling in both black and Asian groups is well below the level in the white group. The pattern in London is the same as for Great Britain as a whole.  London Travel Demand Survey (LTDS) This is a household interview survey carried out by Transport for London. 8000 face-to-face interviews are carried out each year, and interviewees also fill out a 1 day travel diary. All travel is covered, but leisure trips only account for 25% of the total, so the data represents largely “utility” cycling. Analysis of trip mode shares gives the clearest indication of relative amounts cycing and walking done by different ethnic groups. Data was available for 9 years, 2005-2013.   Trip rate for the white British group is 3 to 4 times higher than for black or Asian groupings. This was true for Inner London and for Southwark. Data for Asians in Southwark is not plotted as the sample was too small. The situation for walking is different. Walking trip rates are much more stable over time and differ little between ethnic groups  Census 2011 The census asks everyone about their main mode of transport to work.   Obviously transport to work is “utility”. The same pattern emerges as is seen in the NTS and LTDS. Cycling in the white British ethnic group is about 3 times the level in Asian or black ethnic groups. This is true at local, Southwark, level and at national level. Walking is more uniform, but there is still a clear trend for white British to walk to work more than Asian or black ethnic groups. Why is the Active People Survey so out of line? The Active People Survey is a random digit phone survey. This gives large numbers, but depends on reaching people via land lines. Large segments of the population have no land line, for example many young people. The APS survey team will try to compensate for this, but they have never published their method for doing so. As land lines have become less used, this problem can only have become more difficult to deal with. This methodology has in fact now been abandoned and a postal/internet survey with a proper population sample, Active Lives, has replaced the APS. The other problem is with the question. Many people will find it difficult to distinguish “utility” from “leisure” cycling. It is notable that if you combine the APS data on utility and leisure cycling you end up with a situation closer to the other surveys. Conclusions The idea that white British are the ethnic group to target to increase active travel is clearly wrong. All ethnic groups need to be encouraged to increase their active travel. And for cycling particular incentives need to be devised to get a higher proportion of Black and Asian (and probably some other minorities) into active travel by bike. Downloadable copy of above blog in Word format below 
More analysis of the Biobank data, this time by Jason Gill and colleagues at the University of Glasgow and published open access in the British Medical Journal.
Data from 250,000 45-60 year-olds who were working full time, average follow up 5 years during which 0.75% of the non-active commuters died, but only 0.5% of the cyclists. After adjusting for time in study, age, smoking and lots of other possible confounding factors, the relative risk of early death if you cycled to work, compared with car or public transport, was 59%. So risk pretty much halved! Looking at mortality just from cardiovascular disease or just from cancer gave similar risk reduction. Looking at incidence of cvs disease or cancer over a slightly shorter time also showed similar, nearly 50%, reduction in risk. For relatively young people where the risk of dying is low, these are large reductions in a small risk. Presumably the study will continue and look at more than 5 years. It seems probable that the risk reduction will continue, but it will be good to see data showing a similar percentage gain when risk of dying is higher. This is a cross-sectional study, so it could just be that fit, healthy people cycle to work, and the commuter cycling is just incidental. However, check my previous blog where research was described that showed improvements in health indices in individuals who started cycling to work. The new study had data on the 5.4% who walked to work. They showed no reduction in mortality or incidence of cancer, although there was a small reduction in risk of developing CVS disease. Cyclists were also divided into those with long and those with short commutes. The longer commutes did better, but even the short distance commuters had a significant 32% reduction in mortality. Another sub-group were classed as "mixed mode: cycling", and comprised 4.8% of the sample. Tthis is therefore a larger group than the ones who travelled all the way to work by bike. This part-cycling commute group also showed significant (24%) reduction in mortality and a 32% reduction in incidence of cancer. The authors point out: The data from this study......has important policy implications, suggesting that policies designed to affect a population level modal shift to more active modes of commuting, particularly cycle commuting (eg, cycle lanes, city bike hire, subsidised cycle purchase schemes, and increasing provision for cycles on public transport), present major opportunities for the improvement of public health. And in the mean time, get on the Bike Train, Southwark Cyclists award-winning scheme of led rides to help people get started on cycle commuting. We have known for a long time that people who exercise are fitter and healthier than those who do not. But were they born like that, or does regular exercise actually make you healthier, irrespective of your genes? The evidence is that it does, although your genes do play a part in even determining the effectiveness of exercise. But overwhelmingly, people who take up exercise get healthier.
So why do people not do enough exercise? “No time.” “Not my thing.” We have all heard the reasons. This is why active travel (walking or cycling) is such a good way to get exercise. It often saves you time and in addition it saves you money. And it helps the environment. But does exercise in the form of active travel actually improve your health? We know from surveys that active travelers are healthier. But if you start commuting by active travel does your health improve? There have been a few small experimental studies that indicate that it does. But now we have some impressive evidence from two large scale surveys. Both studies looked at body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) a measure of how fat you are and a good index of general health and fitness. The British Household Panel Survey ran from 1991 to 2009 and each year asked the 18,000 participants about how they travelled to work. From 2004-2007 they were also asked their height and weight, enabling BMI to be calculated. Over this period complete data was obtained from 4056 people of whom 109 switched from car travel to active travel (walking or cycling) and 156 switched the other way. For those switching to active travel, BMI fell by 0.32, equivalent to about a 1 kg reduction in weight. This may not sound much but the change occurred over about 1 year, not very long. And across the population, a reduction of BMI of this extent would be hugely helpful to an overstretched heal th service. Most impressive of all, the fall in BMI was greater the longer your commute (See chart above). The few subjects who changed from the car to a greater than 30 min commute by walking or cyclinig had a BMI reduction of 2.25, equivalent to a 6kg (14lb – a stone!) fall in weight. The British Household Panel survey also includes every year a questionnaire on psychological wellbeing (GHQ-12, questions on self-worth, ability to cope etc). Switching from car to active commute was associated with a significant improvement in wellbeing. Data from the UK Biobank study shows a similar trend. The Biobank is a large database of 40-69 year-olds that includes BMI and mode of travel to work. Of the 500,000 participants, 20,000 have now had repeat measurements made, at an average 4.4 years interval. Of these, 5861 had data on commuting travel and all other relevant measures. The numbers switching from car travel to active transport or vice versa were too small for separate analysis (about 40 each way). So the analysis here is for a switch from car travel to either public transport or active transport and vice versa. Those abandoning their cars showed an improved BMI, on average 0.30 lower. In contrast those switching to a car commute put on weight, increasing BMI by 0.32. So changing travel mode triggered about a 1kg change in weight, down for those going to public or active travel, up for those switching to cars. See chart above). These studies are important because they look at trends across large populations, so the statistical reliability is good. Lots of other data was also available about the survey participants so the analyses were able to allow for any possible bias due to differences in occupational status, working hours, household income, health status and a host of other factors that might influence the results. The Biobank study only analysed combined public and active travel. But we know from other studies that health indices in people using active transport are better than those using public transport, so the trend for both is very likely to include a similar or better trend for those switching to cycling and walking. As a cyclist it would be even more interesting if these studies had contained separate data on cycling. Living in London where commute distances tend to be long, cycling is the time efficient option. Unfortunately not many people cycle to work. In order to find people who start cycling to work we would need an even bigger survey. The Biobank survey is ongoing and may eventually deliver enough data. But the message is clear. Active travel to work is good for your health and wellbeing. Sources Adam Martin, Yevgeniy Goryakin, Marc Suhrcke. (2104) Does active commuting improve psychological wellbeing? Longitudinal evidence from eighteen waves of the British Household Panel Survey. Preventive Medicine 69 296–303 Flint, ES; Cummins, SCJ. (2016) Is active commuting associated with obesity in mid-life? Cross-sectional, observational evidence from UK Biobank. The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 4, 420-435 Ellen Flint, Elizabeth Webb, Steven Cummins (2016) Change in commute mode and body-mass index: prospective, longitudinal evidence from UK Biobank. Lancet Public Health October 28, 2016 Martin A, Panter J, Suhrcke M, et al. (2015) Impact of changes in mode of travel to work on changes in body mass index: evidence from the British Household Panel Survey. J Epidemiol Community Health 69:753–761. Two new cafes have appeared on the Q1 route, one at Dunton Rd and one 2 miles further east at Folkestone Gardens (see map).  Festa sul prato (translated “Feast in the Meadow” so think ‘Picnic in the Park!’) is a new, single storey, stand-alone building in Folkestone Gardens. You could miss it as the back is to the Quietway and is not signed. It is easily seen if approaching from Woodpecker Rd. Has been open since August 2016 and is rather smart. Currently as well as the food and drinks, some excellent art is being exhibited (Landscape-inspired abstract paintings by Louise Holgate, www.louise-holgate.co.uk).  Dropping in on a Tuesday afternoon had an excellent coffee. The choice of location was not determined by the closeness to the cycle route, but this was seen as a plus and there were 3 Sheffield stands by the entrance. Does a varied (Italian) menu, in fact feels more like a restaurant than a café. Lots of information on the Festa web site at www.festasulprato.com Crol and Co will eventually be an antiques shop with an attached café. For now (only opened in October 2016) it is a café.  Location is a previously empty shop unit on the corner of Lynton Rd and Dunton Rd, so very visible from Q1. Bicycle rack outside with 2 bikes, and the owner is a cyclist. She commented on my Skyride Leader jacket and said she has ridden with her children on Skyrides. Again rather good coffee and lots of cakes and pastries on offer. On a cold Tuesday afternoon there were several small groups drinking coffee and looking very comfortable. Find out more on Twitter (#crolandcocoffee) or Instagram (Crolandcovintage).
What was interesting was that both businesses had noted the presence of the cycle route and saw it as a positive factor. The way cycle routes can increase local trade has been documented widely. There are some good examples from New York in Streetfight by Janette Sadik-Khan (Viking, 2016). Maybe, on a small scale, we are seeing the same thing here in South London. But whether this marks a new trend or not, we can still enjoy two valuable additions to the amenities of Quietway 1. Info on bike training and bike maintenance classes in London
TfL sponsors cycle training and maintenance programmes in all boroughs, see: https://tfl.gov.uk/modes/cycling/cycling-in-london/cycle-skills?cid=cycle-skills For Southwark link is to training company Cycle Confident at http://www.cycleconfident.com/sponsors/southwark/ 3 levels of training, 1:1, free, are offered Basic cycle skills; Urban cycle skills; Advanced cycle skills This last one is interesting Says it will: “Perfect your cycling techniques with a free one-to-one session from a fully qualified trainer. Improve your performance when dealing with complex junctions, heavy traffic or cycling at night and receive assurance that you are cycling efficiently and effectively.” I had not realized anything other than basic training was offered free. Such a course might be excellent for some of the Bike Train riders and some of the Healthy Riders. There are also subsidised cycle maintenance classes. In Southwark these are also run by Cycle Confident at their Kennington base, cost is £18 for a 4-4.5 hour Saturday class. Basic and advanced sessions, approx. monthly. It would be very interesting to hear comments from anyone who has tried any of the training or has gone on a maintenance course. OKRAAP =Old Kent Road Area Action PlanSouthwark Cyclists were invited to make a short presentation at the latest Forum session on July 27th organised by Southwark Council as part of their consultation process. I did this and used the attached slides. These cover a little background on cycling and health and the environment (air pollution). Then some points about cycle promotion (plugged Healthy Rides!). Finally some planning points about routes and junction design. I would encourage anyone in an AAP area (there is another for Canada Water/Surrey Quays) to go along to events and express views about the importance of building cycling into any plans. Link the Southwark Council page on OKRAAP here. Slides are linked below. Comments welcome. 
Recently published study has attracted wide media attention thanks to the claim that, if you want to live a long time, more important to be physically active than to be the perfect body weight. Lead author was Ulf Ekelund (U Cambridge) and study is published in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. Data comes form a huge pan-European study (EPIC) that has been underway for 13 years. It has followed the fortunes of over 300,000 middle-aged people and noted when anyone died. All the participants had their weight and height measured and filled in a physical activity questionnaire. It is now possible to look with some precision at mortality of people with different degrees of fatness and with different levels of activity. Two findings are of particular importance 1. No matter how fat you are, it helps to be active Results on this are shown in the diagram below  Note what is plotted here is hazard ratio (risk of dying) relative to an inactive individual. So each "inactive" bar is the same (ratio of 1). But of course obese individuals are a bit more likely to die early than non-obese, so take that into account. What the authors are keen to show is that, however fat you are, it is worth being active. 2. Being active is twice as important as being the "correct" body weight The data is plotted in the second figure, shown below.  Unlike the first diagram, here the higher the bar, the better. What is plotted is the Population Attributable Fraction. This is the proportion of deaths attributable to a particular factor. In the EPIC data, it is clear that being inactive contributes more deaths, roughly twice as many, as not being obese.
The EPIC data does not tell us anything particularly new. We have known from smaller studies for a long time that physical activity is good for longevity (and for quality of life during those longer years). We also knew that body weight was less important, indeed some studies showed almost no effect of body weight on mortality. The good thing about this study is that (a) it is huge and used a real cross-section of European populations and (b) the key variables were examined together in a well-designed study. And this study has been widely and accurately reported, emphasising the major importance of physical activity for public health. And we know, the best way to get people more active is active travel. And the most time efficient mode of active travel is cycling.  Right click to view a larger image Recent data from Public Health England (Children, Young People and families NCMP Dataset) assign Southwark the doubtful honour of having the fattest 10-11 year olds in the whole of England. This may in part be because Southwark has very few children cycling to school (0.7%, Dept of Education, SCHOOLS, PUPILS, AND THEIR CHARACTERISTICS, JANUARY 2011).
The graph above shows levels of children's obesity plotted against cycling to school for all London boroughs. There is a clear negative relation. The more cycling, the less obesity. Now we should not think all excess body weight is due to lack of cycling. But some of it probably is. There are clearly important common features that may account for some of the relation. For example better off families tend to exercise more and be less likely to be obese. And Richmond probably has a lot more better off families than Southwark. But this clear relationship should make you think. Just maybe it is time for a serious effort to get our children cycling to and from school. The importance of shared pedestrian and cycle space Draft LCGS, Guiding Principles, p4 3. Bicycles must be treated as vehicles, not as pedestrians Cyclists and pedestrians should not be forced together where there is space to keep them apart, creating unnecessary conflict which can only increase as the number of cyclists rises. We have a strong preference against schemes requiring cyclists and pedestrians to share the same highway space, wherever they can be avoided. It will be necessary to use some shared areas in our cycle routes, particularly where the space is wide, but we will prefer to create delineated cycle tracks across it, perhaps with sloping, pedestrian-friendly kerbs or different surfacing. Cyclists and pedestrians should not share the same space at crossings and junctions. Clearly-delineated separate and/or parallel routes should be provided for cyclists and pedestrians. Typical bad cycle design deals with junctions by making cyclists pretend to be pedestrians, bringing them on to the pavement and having them cross the road, often in several stages, on toucan crossings. What madness is this? Of course bicycles are vehicles by dictionary definition. But they are not MOTOR VEHICLES. Bicycles are light and powered only by huff and puff. Vehicles (meaning motor vehicles) are heavy and highly powered and DANGEROUS. Cycling has much more in common with walking than with driving. In contrast: From the Mayor’s Foreword to THE MAYOR’S VISION FOR CYCLING IN LONDON – An Olympic Legacy for all Londoners I want more women cycling, more older people cycling, more black and minority ethnic Londoners cycling, more cyclists of all social backgrounds – without which truly mass participation can never come. As well as the admirable Lycra-wearers, and the enviable east Londoners on their fixed-gear bikes, I want more of the kind of cyclists you see in Holland, going at a leisurely pace on often clunky steeds. I will do all this by creating a variety of routes for the variety of cyclists I seek. There will be greatly-improved fast routes on busy roads for cyclists in a hurry. And there will be direct, continuous, quieter routes on side streets for new cyclists, cautious cyclists and all sorts of other people who would rather take it more slowly. LCDS 1.3.4 They (Quietways) are not principally aimed at existing fast, confident cyclists. They are aimed at new cyclists who want a safe, unthreatening experience. 1.3.5 The vast majority will be on more lightly trafficked back streets, with some on canal towpaths or paths across parks and open spaces. There is a major disconnect here. The sort of cyclists who we are encouraging to start riding do not think of themselves as “vehicles”. They have much more affinity with themselves – i.e. with their other mode of transport, walking. Children, many women, many Southwark residents, do not have access to a car – but they are all pedestrians. On the Healthy Rides, which help lots of less confident cyclists gain experience, here is a typical route. In fact the start of last week’s ride. 
We started at Canada Water, on the small square beside the library. Down the ramp and over the little bridge to a broad path past the Decathlon store. Then right along the path past the side of the Surrey Quays Shopping Centre. Turn left along the road into the parking, then right on to the tree-lined path across the car park. Across the crossing of Deal Porters Way and down the zig-zag to the quiet cul-de sac (Hothfield Pl). At busy Lower Rd (A200) join the shared use pavement and cross at the Toucan crossing. More shared use pavement then into another quiet cul-de-sac (Gomm Rd) leading to Southwark Park. Follow the path round the east end of the park and exit to Hawkstone Rd. Across Hawkstone Rd, along the path past Rotherhithe Primary School, then across the pedestrian crossing of busy Rotherhithe New Rd. Along Warndon Rd and through a path between blocks to Marley St, right along Island Rd, across Oldfield Grove and over the pedestrian bridge to cross the railway.
Over this first 1.5 miles we have been on shared path most of the time. And so it continues. Through Folkstone Gardens, along Woodpecker Rd (pedestrianised) along the super shared paths through Fordham Park. Eventually use the shared pavement and toucan crossing at Deptford Bridge to cross the A2 trunk road. Then paths along the River Ravensbourne through Brookmill Park, over the pedestrian bridge at Elverson Rd DLR station, eventually into Greenwich Park, down to the river, back along National Cycle Route NR4 following the Thames. Finally along shared paths through Russia Woodland back to Canada Water. The majority of the 10 mile ride uses shared space with pedestrians. It all works perfectly and allows new cyclists to find safe routes around the area. Summary These sorts of shared, safe paths are great for getting to school, getting to the shops, even often as part of a commute. They are the sort of excellent infrastructure that encourages new cyclists. Are we really now saying the marvellous routes through much of Rotherhithe, those through Deptford, the paths along the river, were all a mistake? Is this sort of planning now to be forbidden. This is madness on a significant scale! |
AuthorI run short "healthy rides" for Southwark Cyclists. Have a background in exercise science. Archives
September 2017
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